We relaunch our presidential-election model for a transformed race
The superpower faces more adversaries, new technologies and less-confident allies
The country’s forces should be careful not to overreach
The challenge for neuroscientists is how to test them
Their expansion abroad holds important lessons for Western incumbents
Stepping back starts with a ceasefire in Gaza
Visitors are a boon, if managed wisely
Peaceful protests and judicious diplomacy offer some hope
Expect lots of booze, sweat and plexiglass
Joe Biden’s vice-president has an extraordinary opportunity. But she also has a mountain to climb
Fans may be cooling on the Olympics, but elsewhere technology is transforming how sport is watched
Don’t stop the buck
It is hard to cast America as a victim of the global financial system
The anti-globalist MAGA enthusiast is more consequential than the average veep pick
Investors’ exuberance in the face of political ructions is unlikely to pay off
Researchers are figuring out how large language models work
What does Labour’s win mean for British foreign policy?
Joe Biden is failing to silence calls that he step aside
France is desperately searching for a government
What does Labour’s win mean for British foreign policy?
Joe Biden is failing to silence calls that he step aside
France is desperately searching for a government
Researchers are figuring out how large language models work
Nine thinkers on the continent’s future without America’s embrace.
By Mark Leonard, Constanze Stelzenmüller, Nathalie Tocci, Carl Bildt, Robin Niblett, Radoslaw Sikorski, Guntram Wolff, Bilahari Kausikan, Ivan Krastev, and Stefan Theil
No bloc of countries has, for the past 75 years, been as umbilically tied to the United States as Europe. First, its western half and, since the end of the Cold War, much of its eastern half have prospered under the world’s most extensive bonds in trade, finance, and investment. Europe could also depend on the U.S. military’s iron commitment—enshrined in the 75-year-old NATO alliance—to come to its defense. Together with a few other nations, the United States and Europe defined many of the institutions that comprise what we call the Western-led order. The U.S.-European alliance has arguably been the bedrock of the global system as we know it today.
Without Washington’s embrace, the continent could revert to an anarchic and illiberal past. By HAL BRANDS
Which is the real Europe? The mostly peaceful, democratic, and united continent of the past few decades? Or the fragmented, volatile, and conflict-ridden Europe that existed for centuries before that? If Donald Trump wins the U.S. presidential election in November, we may soon find out.
After the election, populists of the right and left could hobble a centrist president
He has a domestic agenda, but no easy way to bring it about
American fried chicken can now be served from the Philippines
Deadly heat is increasingly the norm, not an exception to it
An energy-rich future is within reach
The future of combat
Technology will make war faster and more opaque. It could
The character of warfare is about to be profoundly changed by artificial intelligence
Growth alone will not fix Britain’s public finances
A snap election in France reveals the flimsiness of his legacy
Wine collectors are at last taking champagne seriously
If America wants to maintain its lead, it should focus less on keeping China down
Elsewhere, political dysfunction and fiscal frailties are taking a toll
A Trump victory would reward them. But not enough to justify the risks
The peninsula is becoming a death trap for the Kremlin’s forces
There is more to AI than ChatGPT
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